|Posted by victoryresearch on July 19, 2015 at 10:25 AM|
TRUMP LEADS IN ILLINOIS
‘New Poll Shows Donald Trump Holds Slight Lead Over Jeb Bush in Republican Primary in Illinois’
For immediate release For more information
July 18, 2015 Contact Rod McCulloch 312-388-1782
A new poll of 800 likely Republican primary voters in Illinois shows that Businessman Donald Trump has pulled ahead of former Florida Governor Jeb Bush. According to the poll, Trump leads Bush 15.5%-14.0%. Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker is in third place with 10.4%, the poll said. More than one third of the respondents said they are still undecided (33.8%).
The live-caller poll was conducted July 16-July 18, 2015 by Victory Research. The respondents answered using both land lines and cell phones. The margin of error for the poll is 3.46%. Victory Research is an independent polling company that conducts semi-monthly statewide polls called The Illinois Poll.
Trump, who has been riding a wave of national polls showing a rapid rise into the top tier of candidates, is leading former Governor Bush among both male and female voters. Geographically, Trump leads Bush in every part of the state except Southern Illinois, where Bush leads Trump 15.4%-13.2%. Governor Walker is tied with Trump for second place in Southern Illinois. Walker is tied with Bush for second place in Northern Illinois.
Rounding out the top six in the poll are Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee (6.1%), Kentucky US Senator Rand Paul (5.1%),and Florida US Senator Marco Rubio (4.0%). The next nine candidates are all under five percent.
Among respondents who self-identified themselves as conservatives, Trump’s margin was slightly larger over Bush (16.8%-14.3). Bush is ahead of Trump among self-identified moderate voters (15.4%-14.5%).
Even though Trump leads all other candidates in the horse race, Trump’s favorability is under water, with 40.9% of respondents having a favorable opinion of the businessman, and 51.6% unfavorable, according to the poll. The only other candidate with negative name identification in the poll was New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, with 28.1% favorable and 32.2% unfavorable.